Wednesday, September 16, 2009

UFC Fight Night Analysis and Predictions (SPIKE TV)

By Brook “Heavy Hands” Taylor

Past UFC Fight Nights have provided some of the most exciting finishes because the free events, featured on SPIKE TV, usually feature young fighters not necessarily in title contention, looking to make a name for themselves. Example: Josh Koscheck KO’d Yoshiyuki Yoshida twice in one fight at the Fight for Troops Fight Night (Brutal).

Tonight’s card includes some potentially explosive match ups so let’s get into it.

Nate Diaz vs. Melvin Guillard

The Diaz brothers, Nick and Nate, are the epitome of loud mouth Stockton street kids but difference between them and every other Affliction wearing jackhole in the Central Valley is these kids have been training Gracie Jui Jitsu and boxing since they were knee high to a duck. Translation: “I don’t give a f*ck” attitude combined with highly refined technical martial arts prowess. Dangerous! Melvin Guillard is a strong grappler and an explosive striker but he’s emotional and he gives up bad positions in a scramble. Look for the wiry Diaz to take some big shots on the feet but eventually drag Guillard to the ground and sink in a fight ending rear naked choke.

Diaz via 2nd Round Submission.

Roger Huerta vs. Gray Maynard

Roger “El Matador” Huerta has one fight left on his contract before he departs the UFC to try his overly moisturized, metro-sexual hand at acting. Gray Maynard is a huge lightweight who has incredible wrestling and has been diversifying his striking ability. Don’t get me wrong, Huerta is a good fighter and he has tons of heart but after a year long layoff and an expressed desire to quit the fight game, the UFC wasn’t about to line up a cupcake ‘walk-off homer’ for Huerta. Maynard is going to grind Huerta down, use his wrestling to slam ‘El Metro-dor’ into the cage, and eventually put those ambitious hands to work on the ground.

Maynard via 2nd Round TKO.

Carlos Condit vs. Jake Ellenberger

In case you didn’t know, the UFC has a sister fight league in the WEC. The best featherweight and bantamweight fighters are there and up until a year ago, they even had a welterweight division. Carlos Condit ruled the WEC welterweight division as champion for almost 2 years. Eventually they folded that division into the UFC and Condit ended up losing his UFC debut fight via a tough decision to Martin Kampmann. Why does any of this matter? Because Condit is the best welterweight most people have never heard of and he’s in the UFC to prove it. On the other hand, Ellenberger is just a welterweight know one has ever heard of and he’s making his UFC debut against a really dangerous competitor. Ellenberger is stout and strong but look for Condit to use his range to clip his opponent’s chin until he can close the distance, take him down and submit him.

Condit via 2nd Round Submission.

Also, tonight is the debut of The Ultimate Fighter 10, Heavyweights. Check out the 8 minute teaser or just wait until 10 PM for the entire episode.

Meet The Heavyweights

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