Big (Brown) Coincidence: I Think Not

Businessweek reports that an analysis conducted by Deutsche Bank shows that for the years when a horse won the Triple Crown, the S&P 500 stock index fell by an average of 6.4 percent. For the 20 years that a contender missed at the Belmont, the market averaged a 10.8 percent gain.

In other news, whenever I breath, a baby is born. You're welcome...world.

Mad Money at Belmont

The cocksure trainer Rick Dutrow inspired me to consult my inner cocksman for this post that wants to make you some mad money, enter Jim Cramer.

I just want to make you money, because my job is not just to entertain you, but to educate you.

All indications are that Big Brown will ring the register, but Big Brown is the General Electric of horse racing. You’re going to get good results, but you are not going to make big money. This pony is cashed out. Too many people are going to be backing up the truck on him, rendering his payback a mere pittance.

Big Brown needs to watch out for the competition gaining market share. Why wouldn’t other skee-daddy owners, trainers or jockeys not pinch him to gobble up the profits? The owners have a lot to lose to let a Triple Crown stud steal the prime mares. Plus, they aren’t going to allow the Wall Street playboy owners of Big Brown have a three bagger on their Initial Public Offering.

A look at the competition shows that trainer Nick Zito may be hedging his bets, betting short and long. He has the small cap prospect in Da’ Tara that could hit early and a blue chip with Anak Nakal. Either Zito can steal the race or wear out Big Brown with Da’ Tara or close with Anak Nakal.

However, there a better members of the Dow out there than Anak Nakal. The race is stacked with value that could pay big money should they have surprise results.

Am I diversified: (good for a trifecta bet) Big Brown, Denis of Cork, Casino Drive and Tale of Ekati – I bless this portfolio

Icabad Crane, Guadalcanal, Anak Nakal, and Ready’s Echo – *Flatline Sound Effect*

Lightning Round: *Horse Race Sound effect*

Big Brown: Ring the Register – no money to be made.
Guadalcanal: SELL! SELL! SELL!
Macho Again: I have one thumb up here
Denis of Cork: Boo-Yah! Plenty of upside
Casino Drive: BUY! BUY! BUY!
Da’ Tara: May be worth paying attention too
Tale of Ekati: Strong performer, build a position
Anak Nakal: Rather see you in Tale of Ekati or Denis of Cork
Ready’s Echo: *Person crashing out of the window sound*
Icabad Crane: House of Pain

Big Brown has Bowel Movement: Sends rippels throughout the racing community

At 6:03 p.m., the anointed triple-crown winner Big Brown dispersed of a large bowel
movement that created quite a stir in the paddock.

The natural fertilizer had a firm consistency with traces of oats and carrots.

"Next to my kid being born, I have never seen something so amazing" said eye witness Craig Nolan. "I have been on my share of hay rides and I have never seen a horse dominate like that."

Expert scatologist, Blake Tripplehorn III, remarked after seeing pictures of the event, "from what I have seen, I don't see how anyone can beat Big Brown next weekend with that display." Tripplehorn received an honorary degree in Scatology from an off campus program at The Ohio State University

The scat was unable to be sent to the lab for further testing because onlookers jumped the gate to snatch up the droppings for a fresh souvenier. Even trainer Rick Dutrow was unable to get a piece for his collection as he was preoccupied by a fan's video camera that he mistook for a TV crew.

The bowel movement adds to a busy week for Big Brown who already jogged on the race track on Tuesday and stood through a, what will sure be a grounbreaking, piece by Kenny Mayne.

The final leg of the triple crown will still be held on June 7.

A Punch in the Preakness

The Kentucky Derby showed us that Big Brown is all balls. He has balls upon balls.

Every indication is that Big Brown is going to run away with the Preakness as well. You would need brass ones to bet against him.

Well sports fans, I cause sparks when I walk.

(AC/DC would bet against Big Brown and would dig this post)

The conundrum that is upon us is that Big Brown has 1-2 odds and expected to go down to 1-10. What’s the point of betting on him?

I was at the Preakness when Barbaro went down. It seems like these horses are dropping as frequent as newborn testicles. You might as well try and make some money on an underdog and a freak accident.

Here is a pair to watch:

Giant Moon and Big Brown could vie for the lead and gas each other allowing Gayego to sashay for the win.

Big Brown and Gayego could dominate each other allowing Tres Borrachos to stalk a position and run the race of his life.In the end, if you want to make any money, you are going to need to play the exotics. The smart money would be to do a trifecta wheel with Big Brown on top and throw Gayego and another in the 2 shoot with a closer like Yankee Bravo or Racecar Rhapsody in the 3 spot. Sadly, even an exacta won’t pay well with a 1-10 odd horse.

Remember kids, vices create character, go gamble.